Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs · T1
Astralis vs Alliance prediction and result
SkinBetHub picked Alliance to win at 1.67 (strong confidence) for Astralis vs Alliance in Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs on October 1, 2026. The pick won: +0.67u at 1 unit per pick.
SkinBetHub pick
wonAlliance to win
- Posted odds
- 1.67
- Implied chance
- 59.9%
- Confidence
- Strong
- Units (1u flat)
- +0.67u
Match result
Alliance won 2-1 in a best-of-3 at Stake Ranked Episode 4 2026 Playoffs.
- Map 1Alliance won70 minutes
- Map 2Astralis won36 minutes
- Map 3Alliance won78 minutes
Score and map winners from PandaScore.
What the price meant
Odds of 1.67 imply a 59.9% chance. At a flat 1 unit, a win pays +0.67u and a loss costs 1 unit, so picks at this price need to land more than 59.9% of the time to make money over a long run.
Across our other 19 settled picks priced between 1.57 and 1.77, the record is 9-10 (47% won, -4.34u). That is a small sample, so read it as context, not proof.
Our other picks on these teams
- Backing Astralis: 1-0, +0.30u
- Against Astralis: 1-1, -0.44u
- Backing Alliance: 1-1, -0.39u
How this pick is tracked
Picks are posted before the match starts and graded at the posted odds. Wins, losses and voids all stay in the public results ledger, and units assume a flat 1 unit per pick. The methodology page explains how picks are chosen and when a match is skipped.
SkinBetHub's tracked CS2 picks are 50-23 since June 18, 2026, a 68.5% hit rate at average odds of 1.49. At a flat 1 unit per pick that is +0.46u (+0.6% ROI). Every settled pick, including the losses, is listed in the public ledger.
Other picks with Astralis or Alliance
| Date | Match | Tournament | Tier | Pick | Odds | Confidence | Result | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nemiga vs Astralis | Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs | T2 | Astralis to win | 1.30 | Strong | won | +0.30u | |
| Alliance vs magic | FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B | T1 | Alliance to win | 1.61 | Strong | won | +0.61u | |
| G2 vs Astralis | FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A | T1 | G2 to win | 1.43 | Strong | lost | -1.00u | |
| Alliance vs Phantom Academy | United21 Group D | T3 | Alliance to win | 1.54 | Strong | lost | -1.00u | |
| G2 vs Astralis | Esports World Cup Playoffs | T1 | G2 to win | 1.56 | Strong | won | +0.56u |