Transparency
How SkinBetHub picks are posted and graded
How picks are posted, graded, and recorded, how partner pages are handled, and how we keep picks separate from affiliate payouts.
Editorial line
Research first. Partners second.
A partner payout can affect business economics, but it should not rewrite a pick, hide a loss, or remove a safety warning.
How Picks Are Posted and Recorded
Rule 1
Source
Picks come from SkinBetHub's proprietary signal model, built on prediction-market data. We do not publish the model's inputs or rules.
Rule 2
Posted before the match
Each pick is posted with its odds before the match starts. A pick is never added after the match has begun.
Rule 3
Flat 1 unit
Every pick is graded at a flat 1 unit, so the record measures pick quality rather than stake sizing.
Rule 4
Skipped when nothing qualifies
If no match qualifies, no pick is posted. There is no quota and no forced daily action.
Rule 5
Forward-only record
The record starts from the first posted pick and only moves forward. No history is back-filled.
Rule 6
Every result stays on /results
Wins, losses, and voids all stay on the public results ledger. Nothing is deleted.
Partner Review Standard
SkinBetHub may earn affiliate commission from partner links, but review pages should explain the review basis clearly.
How the Results Record Is Scored
Every SkinBetHub pick is scored at a flat 1 unit, so the record measures pick quality rather than stake sizing. Hit rate alone can mislead: a pick at odds of 1.50 needs to win more than 66.7% of the time just to break even. That is why the ledger shows posted odds and units next to wins and losses.
- Settled pick
- A pick whose match has finished and been graded as a win or a loss.
- Voids
- Cancelled or voided picks stay visible in the ledger but count as neither a win nor a loss.
- Hit rate
- Wins divided by settled picks. Voids are excluded.
- Units
- A win adds the posted decimal odds minus 1. A loss subtracts 1.
- ROI
- Total units won or lost divided by the number of settled picks.
- Break-even hit rate
- 1 divided by the average posted odds: roughly the hit rate a record has to beat to show a profit.
See the live numbers on the results ledger, or check any tipster record with the ledger ROI calculator.
Current Changelog
October 2026: Added guides on reading CS2 odds, BO1 vs BO3, map vetoes, provably fair checks, Steam market fees, stats sites, and prediction sites, and published the formula and a worked example for every betting calculator.
April 2026: Added the public results ledger, the daily picks page, the site trust scorecard, and responsible-gambling guidance.
Methodology FAQ
Does affiliate commission change SkinBetHub picks?
No. Picks and partner pages are kept separate. Partner links may earn commission, but every published pick is recorded on the results ledger with its match, market, posted odds, and result.
Can SkinBetHub add a pick after a match has started?
No. Every pick is posted with its odds before the match starts, and the record is forward-only, so nothing is back-filled after the result is known.
Why are there days with no pick?
A pick is only posted when something qualifies under the model. When nothing qualifies, the day is skipped. Skipped days add nothing to the record, good or bad.